Tag Archives: Unemployment

Why are Americans so Pessimistic about the U.S. Economy?

This is the first in a three-part series on Innovation Trends Retooling the U.S. Economy. Five years after the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), despite improvements in GDP growth and employment, the U.S. public still seems to be oppressed by a … Continue reading

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Beyond QE, U.S. Economy is Getting Traction

The Fed confirmed the end of Quantitative Easing (QE) and changed its rhetoric on the job market. The unemployment rate is (finally) gradually declining, as is the underutilization in the labor market, although it remains high by historical standards. The … Continue reading

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A Strong Employment Report…But Not Strong Enough to Change Fed Policy

Last month, I said the “weak” job report would not deter the Fed. Despite a strong monthly employment record for September, the Fed did not accelerate its pace of tightening. The data can be volatile, and seasonal factors (e.g. local schools … Continue reading

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Are Low Job Claims an Omen for Faster Job Growth?

Last week in the capital markets was a “risk-off” week. We saw more signs that manufacturing is driving moderate economic growth. There was also some good news for the “residential investment” component of gross domestic product (GDP). It’s shaping up … Continue reading

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As the Economy Improves, the Fed Recalibrates its Message

As the economy and labor market improve, quantitative easing (QE) is wound down and the first rate hike draws nearer, the language of the Fed evolves accordingly.  Both the minutes of the June FOMC meeting and the remarks of Fed … Continue reading

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