Tag Archives: the Fed

The Oracle Has Spoken: Fed Maintains a Dovish Tone

The minutes of the March 17-18 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting were generally interpreted as dovish and showed continuing divisions within the Fed as to when hikes should start, and it still seems far from a consensus to act. … Continue reading

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Russia: Where might we be wrong?

As the last hours of the year slip through our hands, it is sometimes important to remind ourselves that today’s gallstones can become tomorrow’s pearls. This time last year, we expected the Federal Reserve to begin to raise rates, as … Continue reading

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Why are Americans so Pessimistic about the U.S. Economy?

This is the first in a three-part series on Innovation Trends Retooling the U.S. Economy. Five years after the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), despite improvements in GDP growth and employment, the U.S. public still seems to be oppressed by a … Continue reading

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As the Economy Improves, the Fed Recalibrates its Message

As the economy and labor market improve, quantitative easing (QE) is wound down and the first rate hike draws nearer, the language of the Fed evolves accordingly.  Both the minutes of the June FOMC meeting and the remarks of Fed … Continue reading

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Signs Point to Continued Slow Growth Ahead

Last week’s data provided a mixed picture of the economy. Businesses produced more, but demand growth was soft. That combination suggests slower future economic growth, not acceleration (but still growth, not recession). Some points to note: The NFIB Small Business Optimism … Continue reading

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