Tag Archives: economy

Beyond QE, U.S. Economy is Getting Traction

The Fed confirmed the end of Quantitative Easing (QE) and changed its rhetoric on the job market. The unemployment rate is (finally) gradually declining, as is the underutilization in the labor market, although it remains high by historical standards. The … Continue reading

Posted in Economy, Equity, Fixed Income, Industry Insights, Markets, Multi Asset | Tagged , , , , , , , , ,

Last Week in the Capital Markets: Equities Bounce, Bonds Simmer Down

After four consecutive down weeks, the S&P 500 Index returned 4.2% last week – its biggest weekly gain since January 2013. Earnings reports (IBM and Amazon were notable exceptions) were generally above expectations (75% beating versus 66% normally), but a … Continue reading

Posted in Economy, Equity, Fixed Income, Markets | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

A Strong Employment Report…But Not Strong Enough to Change Fed Policy

Last month, I said the “weak” job report would not deter the Fed. Despite a strong monthly employment record for September, the Fed did not accelerate its pace of tightening. The data can be volatile, and seasonal factors (e.g. local schools … Continue reading

Posted in Economy, Equity, Fixed Income, Industry Insights, Markets | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , ,

Are Low Job Claims an Omen for Faster Job Growth?

Last week in the capital markets was a “risk-off” week. We saw more signs that manufacturing is driving moderate economic growth. There was also some good news for the “residential investment” component of gross domestic product (GDP). It’s shaping up … Continue reading

Posted in Economy, Industry Insights, Markets | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Mind the Gap

Economic fundamentals (the “real economy”) have been struggling to catch up with the buoyant behavior of financial markets and, eventually, these diverging patterns (gaps) will have to be reconciled. On the economic side, the main global structural imbalances (a mountain … Continue reading

Posted in Economy, Equity | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,