Tag Archives: economy

Last Week in the Capital Markets: Equities Bounce, Bonds Simmer Down

After four consecutive down weeks, the S&P 500 Index returned 4.2% last week – its biggest weekly gain since January 2013. Earnings reports (IBM and Amazon were notable exceptions) were generally above expectations (75% beating versus 66% normally), but a … Continue reading

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A Strong Employment Report…But Not Strong Enough to Change Fed Policy

Last month, I said the “weak” job report would not deter the Fed. Despite a strong monthly employment record for September, the Fed did not accelerate its pace of tightening. The data can be volatile, and seasonal factors (e.g. local schools … Continue reading

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Are Low Job Claims an Omen for Faster Job Growth?

Last week in the capital markets was a “risk-off” week. We saw more signs that manufacturing is driving moderate economic growth. There was also some good news for the “residential investment” component of gross domestic product (GDP). It’s shaping up … Continue reading

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Mind the Gap

Economic fundamentals (the “real economy”) have been struggling to catch up with the buoyant behavior of financial markets and, eventually, these diverging patterns (gaps) will have to be reconciled. On the economic side, the main global structural imbalances (a mountain … Continue reading

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Did Fears of the Fed Spark Bond Market Selloff?

Last week in the capital markets: Bonds sold off globally in the week before the Fed meeting. It was a quiet week for economic news, and the geopolitical front was relatively quiet (less fighting but more sanctions in Europe, moving … Continue reading

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