Fed Refreshes Punch Bowl Just in Time for Holidays

177386659Last week U.S. oil plunged sharply then rebounded to end the week down just 1%. The Russian ruble had an even wilder run for the week ‑ down 25% at one point before recovering. Did oil find a bottom? U.S. equities turned in a powerful three-day rally starting Wednesday that reversed prior day losses to finish 3.4% for the week. More solid U.S. economic data: industrial capacity utilization hit over 80, a level that lore says brings capital expenditure. Continue reading

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How will Automation and Robots Affect Jobs?

124114050This is the second in a three-part series on Innovation Trends Retooling the U.S. Economy.

Technology is advancing far more rapidly than many of us can fathom. And it is not just discovery, but also societal adoption. History shows a constant acceleration in the societal adoption of major  technological advances in communication.

 Innovation Trends in the U.S.

We have identified three major trends that are transforming the U.S. economy. Continue reading

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3 Things that Could Make European QE More Likely

4825381831. Economic data and Political Instability: Recent economic data continues to disappoint. Meanwhile, the political situation in Russia could create adverse headwinds for surrounding economies, notably Germany. The ECB should surely be concerned by these developments. Continue reading

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European Equities: How to align your stars in 2015

5190941492014 has not been the year we expected for European Equities. Despite delivering positive returns, the asset class has been shrouded by on-going macro concerns and news flow. Could the stars be aligning for 2015? With greater ECB commitment, a supportive FX rate and earnings growth appearing to return, this may prove to be the year that investors are finally rewarded for holding the asset class.
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Bad News for Oil Bulls, But Consumers Like Money for Other Stuff!

513135937Last week in the capital markets the oil selloff resumed and took the stock market with it. It was bad news for oil bulls, but consumers like lower gasoline prices, auto sales remain strong, and November retail sales beat expectations. Although mortgage applications continue to trend sideways at low levels, the labor market continues to improve gradually. The U.S. business climate shows improvement with small business as a gauge, but global trade data shows prices trending toward deflation, not inflation, with very slow growth in the Eurozone, slowing growth in China, and questions as to whether Japan is recovering or not. Then there’s the Fed.

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